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Population Ratio of Recruits Per State Past 5-Years

Courtesy: Barry Every / Schuman's National Underclassmen
          Release: September 18, 2012
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The National Underclassmen loves to play with numbers when it comes to recruiting. Have you ever wondered which state produces the most high school DI players based on its population? Basically what are the odds of you running into a DI football prospect in a particular state? 

We have taken the 2010 census population of each state and divided it by the average number of recruits each state has produced over the past five years. Column one are the states listed in order of DI players per population. Column two is the current population rank of each state. Column three is the actual population of each state based the 2010 US Census. Column four is the five year average of the number of high school DI recruits a state produces each year. Column five is the ratio of recruits per overall state population. And finally column six is the NUC region of the country each state resides in.

How do I look at these numbers? For example for every 54,488 people in Louisiana there is one high school DI signee. Louisiana happens to be 25th in state population but is number one based on the number of DI prospects it produces per total population of state.

Let's break which states/regions actually produce more players per population. Louisiana produces the most players per state population followed closely by Alabama, Florida, and Georgia.  Surprisingly Hawaii produces the 5th most players based on their state population. The final five in the Top 10 in order are Mississippi, Texas, Ohio, Oklahoma, and South Carolina. Six of the Top 10 states that produce high school DI talent are in the Southeast region of the country. The Southwest region is the only other region of the country with more than one state in the Top 10.

Three states have not produced any high school DI prospects over the past five years, Maine, Rhode Island, and Vermont. The Empire State is third in population yet produces very few DI football prospects based on population. For every 814,206 people in New York there is just one DI prospect coming out of high school each year. California which is number one in state population is only 16th in producing high school DI players each year per population. Illinois and Pennsylvania are the 5th and 6th most populated states in America. Yet they are 27th and 21st respectively in producing players per population.

What about the District of Columbia? Well technically it is not a state and it would be like taking the population of any city in the USA and dividing that by the number of recruits a city produces. But for those who want to know D.C. produces an average of 9.4 DI players per year with a 2010 US Census population of 601,723. That would mean one in every 64,013 people in the district is a DI recruit in any given year. That would put D.C. between Georgia and Hawaii amongst the state rankings.

What does this all mean? It could mean that the states that produce more players per population each year put more emphasis on the importance of football. It could also mean that the states towards the bottom either don't stress football or they are simply just not recruited that hard by DI colleges. Maybe these states stress sports other than football. Either way have fun with the numbers as the NUC looks to not only entertain but educate its fan base.

Signees of the three military academies are not figured into these numbers. We would also like to thank the staff at Texas Football Magazine for taking the time to calculate the number if high school DI signees for all 50 states each year.

 
 

State

Pop. Rank

2010 Census

5yr avg.

Pop. Ratio

Region

Louisiana

25

4533372

83.2

54488

SE

Alabama

23

4779736

83

57587

SE

Florida

4

18801310

320

58754

SE

Georgia

9

9687653

154.6

62663

SE

Hawaii

40

1360301

21.2

64165

West

Mississippi

31

2967297

44

67439

SE

Texas

2

25145561

361.2

69617

SW

Ohio

7

11536504

153.4

75205

MW

Oklahoma

28

3751351

38.8

96684

SW

South Carolina

24

4625364

41.2

112266

SE

Utah

34

2763885

24.4

113274

West

Arkansas

32

2915918

24

121497

SE

Maryland

19

5773552

39.8

145064

East

Tennessee

17

6346105

42.4

149672

SE

Virginia

12

8001024

51.2

156270

East

California

1

37253956

236.6

157455

West

Michigan

8

9883640

60.6

163096

MW

North Carolina

10

9535483

58.4

163279

SE

Indiana

15

6483802

36.2

179111

MW

Kansas

33

2853118

15.6

182892

MW

Pennsylvania

6

12702379

68.6

185166

East

New Jersey

11

8791894

45.2

194511

East

Arizona

16

6392017

32.4

197284

West

Nevada

35

2700551

13.6

198570

West

Colorado

22

4919479

24.2

203284

West

Delaware

45

897934

4.4

204076

East

Illinois

5

12830632

61

210338

MW

Idaho

39

1567582

6.8

230527

West

Nebraska

38

1826341

7

260905

MW

Kentucky

26

4339367

16.6

261408

MW

Washington

13

6724540

25.4

264746

West

Missouri

18

5988927

22.2

269771

MW

Iowa

30

3046355

10.2

298662

MW

Oregon

27

3831074

10.8

354729

West

Wisconsin

20

5686986

15.2

374144

MW

New Mexico

36

2059179

5.2

395996

West

Minnesota

21

5303925

10.4

509993

MW

Connecticut

29

3574097

7

510585

East

West Virginia

37

1852994

3.4

544998

East

Montana

44

989415

1.8

549675

West

Massachusetts

14

6547629

10.8

606262

East

South Dakota

46

814180

1

814180

West

New York

3

19378102

23.8

814206

East

Wyoming

50

563626

0.6

939377

West

New Hampshire

42

1316470

1.2

1097058

West

North Dakota

48

672591

0.6

1120985

West

Alaska

47

710231

0.6

1183718

West

Maine

41

1328361

0

None

East

Rhode Island

43

1052567

0

None

East

Vermont

49

625741

0

None

East

*District of Columbia

 

 601723

 9.4        

64013 

East

 
 
 

 



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